Dalio Warns of Global Order Shift, Saylor Points to Bitcoin

What’s Happening
 

• Saylor Signals 100th Bitcoin Buy for Strategy

 

• Missouri advances bitcoin reserve bill to House committee

 

• Bitcoin mining difficulty jumps 15%, largest increase since 2021

 

• Saylor tells Dalio: If world order breaks down, own Bitcoin

 

• YOUTUBE ANALYSIS: Bitcoin Masterclass: Tools for active trading

 

 

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Price Action

 

Bitcoin has experienced a sharp drop over the past 24 hours. It dropped sharply from the $67,500 area to $64,500 and is now close to $66,000, attempting to stabilise. 

 

As a result of this sharp drop, Bitcoin is down -3.79% over the past week.

 

Figure 1: BTC past week price action.

 

Zooming out, BTC is attempting to form a range after the sharp drop to $60,000 earlier this month.

Figure 2: BTC is trying to form a range.

 

Bears are still holding out for a move below both the 200-week moving average and Realized Price - both of which are typically breached at bear market lows.

Their current levels are:

• 200-week moving average = $58,000
• Realized Price = $54,700

 

The Big Story: Dalio Warns of Global Order Shift, Saylor Points to Bitcoin

Ray Dalio has argued that the post-1945 global order is beginning to fracture. Rising geopolitical tension, trade fragmentation, capital restrictions, and growing debt burdens suggest, in his view, that the system is entering a late-stage transition.

Michael Saylor responded succinctly: if the world order is breaking down, own the asset with no counterparty. Bitcoin.

The underlying idea is straightforward. In a world of sanctions, currency debasement, sovereign debt strain, and capital controls, assets that do not rely on governments or financial institutions may gain strategic importance.

Liquidity remains central to this discussion.

Global M2 Liquidity vs Bitcoin

Figure 3: Global M2 vs BTC

Over the past decade, Bitcoin has generally appreciated during periods of rapid global M2 expansion. While short-term volatility is constant, the longer-term relationship between expanding liquidity and rising BTC valuations has been clear. Global M2 is currently increasing again, which places macro liquidity back in focus.

Strategy’s corporate conviction reinforces this narrative.

Strategy Bitcoin Holdings

Figure 4: Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Over Time

Strategy now holds well over 700,000 bitcoin, making it the largest public company holder of BTC. Accumulation has continued across both bullish and bearish phases, reflecting a long-duration treasury strategy rather than tactical positioning.

Short-term performance, however, remains volatile.

Strategy Real-Time Treasury P&L

Figure 5: Strategy Real-Time Treasury P&L

Strategy is currently sitting on roughly a $6 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. Despite this drawdown, management has consistently expressed long-term conviction and has historically used weakness to accumulate further.

If Dalio is correct about the systemic transition and global liquidity continues to expand, Bitcoin’s role as a non-sovereign monetary asset may become increasingly relevant.

 

The Bitcoin Magazine Pro Team.